Match details. Brasileiro Serie B. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time.
Form. America FC MG have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L. Cuiaba EC MT have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W L.
The numbers. America FC MG score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. America FC MG average 5.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Cuiaba EC MT score 0.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Cuiaba EC MT average 5.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Cuiaba EC MT are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour America FC MG.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cuiaba EC MT or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Cuiaba EC MT or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: America FC MG 1-1 Cuiaba EC MT (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).