Lions FC vs Preston Lions FC
Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Lions Stadium, Brisbane.
What's at stake. Lions FC are 4th on 0 points after 1 game. Preston Lions FC are 3rd on 1 point after 1 game, 1 point clear of Sutherland Sharks.
Form. Lions FC have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. In this competition Lions FC have gone L. Preston Lions FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D W.
The numbers. Lions FC score 2.4 and concede 0.7 a game in their last seven at home, with four clean sheets. Preston Lions FC score 1.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal.
The case against. Preston Lions FC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Lions FC to win. An open game. Lions FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lions FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 76% on the records (Lions FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 at home; Preston Lions FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Lions FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Preston Lions FC Under 1.5 goals (Preston Lions FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: Lions FC 2-1 Preston Lions FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).