Belgrano de Cordoba vs Universitario de Deportes
Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. Belgrano de Cordoba have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. Universitario de Deportes have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. Belgrano de Cordoba score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Belgrano de Cordoba average 10.1 shots (4.3 on target), 2.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Universitario de Deportes score five and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Universitario de Deportes average 15.3 shots (7.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 21% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Universitario de Deportes are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Universitario de Deportes the likelier winners; Universitario de Deportes are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Universitario de Deportes. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Belgrano de Cordoba or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Universitario de Deportes); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Belgrano de Cordoba 1-2 Universitario de Deportes (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).