Match details. Jordan League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Al Hussein Irbid are 7th on 5 points after 5 games, level on points with Al Salt, 1 point clear of Al Arabi. A win would take them above Al Salt. Doqarah FC are 9th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Al Arabi, 1 point clear of Shabab Al Ordon. A win would take them above Al Arabi.
Form. Al Hussein Irbid have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. Doqarah FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L.
The numbers. Al Hussein Irbid score 1.8 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Al Hussein Irbid average 16.1 shots (7.1 on target), 8.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Doqarah FC score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Doqarah FC average 9.3 shots (4.1 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Doqarah FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Al Hussein Irbid or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Al Hussein Irbid the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Al Hussein Irbid or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Al Hussein Irbid Over 0.5 Goals (Al Hussein Irbid's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Al Hussein Irbid 1-1 Doqarah FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).