Match details. Carioca, Serie B1, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Niteroiense are 1st on 16 points after 7 games, 1 point clear of Duque de Caxias. Audax Rio EC RJ are 11th on 4 points after 7 games, 2 points behind São Cristóvão RJ, 3 points clear of Carapebus. A win would take them above São Cristóvão RJ.
Form. Niteroiense have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W W W. Audax Rio EC RJ have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L D L L.
The numbers. Niteroiense score 1.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Niteroiense average 11.0 shots (5.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Audax Rio EC RJ score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Audax Rio EC RJ average 9.2 shots (2.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 3.9 cards a game.
The read. Niteroiense to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Niteroiense the likelier winners; Niteroiense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Niteroiense. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, rated 82% (Niteroiense: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Audax Rio EC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Draw No Bet: Niteroiense at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Niteroiense 1-0 Audax Rio EC RJ (14% chance).
The agreed story. Niteroiense or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Niteroiense or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
NIT 5 of 5 (100%) · AUD 7 of 7 (100%)92.7%
Niteroiense scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Audax Rio EC RJ trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
Niteroiense (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
NIT 7 of 8 (88%) · AUD 5 of 5 (100%)91%
Niteroiense won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Audax Rio EC RJ lost 5 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 83% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · won 9, refunded 1, lost 0
Niteroiense or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NIT 5 of 5 (100%) · AUD 5 of 5 (100%)89.6%
Niteroiense: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
2nd Half - Draw No Bet: NiteroienseBACKUPIN CODES
1.17
NIT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 5 of 6 (83%)82.7%
Niteroiense: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Audax Rio EC RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · won 7, refunded 3, lost 0
Niteroiense 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NIT 5 of 5 (100%) · AUD 6 of 7 (86%)64.7%
Niteroiense scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Audax Rio EC RJ trailed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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NIT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 5 of 5 (100%)92.7%
Niteroiense: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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NIT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 4 of 5 (80%)84.3%
Niteroiense: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.27
NIT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 4 of 5 (80%)82.7%
Niteroiense: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoIN CODES
1.50
NIT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 3 of 5 (60%)53.7%
Niteroiense: not both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: not both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
NITEROIENSE GOALS
Niteroiense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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NIT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 5 of 5 (100%)67%
Niteroiense scored in 4 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.44
NIT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 4 of 5 (80%)79.3%
Niteroiense: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
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NIT 4 of 5 (80%) · AUD 8 of 8 (100%)91.5%
Niteroiense's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Audax Rio EC RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Audax Rio EC RJ's level · Audax Rio EC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
Left off the list: Niteroiense to Win (the numbers (61%) and the records (83%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–014.4%
Niteroiense goals →
Audax Rio EC RJ goals ↓
0-09%
1-014%
2-013%
3-07%
4-03%
5-01%
0-16%
1-111%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-22%
1-24%
2-23%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.3%
0-30.5%
1-30.9%
2-30.8%
3-30.5%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.1%
1-40.2%
2-40.1%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
NITEROIENSEWDWWDWWWWL2.30 PPG
AUDAX RIO EC RJLWLLLLLDLW0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NITEROIENSE HOMExAUDAX RIO EC RJ AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME0.600.50CONCEDED A GAME1.2060%CLEAN SHEETS30%14%FAILED TO SCORE71%4.56CORNERS A GAME3.382.56CARDS A GAME3.88
TRENDS
Niteroiense have scored in 80% of their games.
Audax Rio EC RJ have scored in 40% of their games.
Niteroiense kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Audax Rio EC RJ kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards