SE Palmeiras SP vs Dragonas IDV
Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. SE Palmeiras SP have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. Dragonas IDV have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W.
The numbers. SE Palmeiras SP score 1.6 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. SE Palmeiras SP average 17.3 shots (6.3 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Dragonas IDV score 1.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. Dragonas IDV average 14.9 shots (5.4 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, 87% on the records (SE Palmeiras SP: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Dragonas IDV: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Leave: SE Palmeiras SP Over 0.5 Goals (Dragonas IDV's own games don't back it (1 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SE Palmeiras SP 0-0 Dragonas IDV (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).