BFBAR

01:30Thu 22 Oct

AME

Barranquilla FC vs America de Cali

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Copa DIMAYOR, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Barranquilla FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D L. America de Cali have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D.

The numbers. Barranquilla FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Barranquilla FC average 10.6 shots (3.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game. America de Cali score 1.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. America de Cali average 12.5 shots (4.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 3.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Barranquilla FC have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 20 Sep 2016, it finished Barranquilla FC 0-1 America de Cali.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 75% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: America de Cali are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make America de Cali the likelier winners; America de Cali are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour America de Cali. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Barranquilla FC 1-2 America de Cali (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BAR 5 of 5 (100%) · AME 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Barranquilla FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · America de Cali: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.21

BAR 4 of 5 (80%) · AME 8 of 10 (80%)80%

Barranquilla FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · America de Cali: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.82

BAR 3 of 5 (60%) · AME 7 of 10 (70%)66.7%

Barranquilla FC: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · America de Cali: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

BARRANQUILLA FC GOALS

Barranquilla FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.54

BAR 3 of 5 (60%) · AME 8 of 10 (80%)71.7%

Barranquilla FC scored in 3 of 5 at home · America de Cali conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

AMERICA DE CALI GOALS

America de Cali Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

BAR 9 of 10 (90%) · AME 5 of 5 (100%)95%

America de Cali scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Barranquilla FC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.28

BAR 4 of 5 (80%) · AME 8 of 10 (80%)81.7%

Barranquilla FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · America de Cali: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.3%

Barranquilla FC goals →

America de Cali goals ↓

0-06%

1-06%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.6%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-112%

2-17%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.6%

1-50.7%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BARRANQUILLA FCWWLLLLDWDL1.10 PPG

AMERICA DE CALIWDWWLDWWLD1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BARRANQUILLA FC HOMExAMERICA DE CALI AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.901.50CONCEDED A GAME1.100%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.20CORNERS A GAME5.802.80CARDS A GAME3.10

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.10POINTS A GAME2.20+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.90-4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.20.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES10

America de Cali: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

53%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

OKAY · 85/90

BARRANQUILLA FC OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

AMERICA DE CALI OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BARRANQUILLA FCxAMERICA DE CALI

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

BARRANQUILLA FC 0 · 0%DRAW 1AMERICA DE CALI 1 · 50%

2016-05-03Barranquilla FC 0 – 0 America de Cali

2016-09-20Barranquilla FC 0 – 1 America de Cali

TRENDS

Barranquilla FC have scored in 70% of their games.

America de Cali have scored in 90% of their games.

Barranquilla FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

America de Cali kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards