CACDA

21:30Sun 25 Oct

CUR

CD Antofagasta vs Curico Unido

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Primera B. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time.

Form. CD Antofagasta have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. Curico Unido have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L.

The numbers. CD Antofagasta score two and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. CD Antofagasta average 5.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Curico Unido score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Curico Unido average 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 65% against the records' 40%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The read. No firm call: CD Antofagasta are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make CD Antofagasta the likelier winners; CD Antofagasta are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Curico Unido Under 1.5 goals (Curico Unido's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: CD Antofagasta 1-1 Curico Unido (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 7 of 7 (100%) · CUR 8 of 8 (100%)95.8%

CD Antofagasta: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Curico Unido: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Antofagasta: only games against sides at Curico Unido's level · Curico Unido: only games against sides at CD Antofagasta's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

CDA 7 of 7 (100%) · CUR 8 of 8 (100%)89.5%

CD Antofagasta: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Curico Unido: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Antofagasta: only games against sides at Curico Unido's level · Curico Unido: only games against sides at CD Antofagasta's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.21

CDA 5 of 7 (71%) · CUR 6 of 8 (75%)64.4%

CD Antofagasta: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Curico Unido: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · CD Antofagasta: only games against sides at Curico Unido's level · Curico Unido: only games against sides at CD Antofagasta's level

CD ANTOFAGASTA GOALS

CD Antofagasta Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.11

CDA 5 of 7 (71%) · CUR 6 of 8 (75%)75%

CD Antofagasta scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Curico Unido conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · CD Antofagasta: only games against sides at Curico Unido's level · Curico Unido: only games against sides at CD Antofagasta's level

Left off the list: Curico Unido Under 1.5 goals (Curico Unido's own games don't back it (4 of 8))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.8%

CD Antofagasta goals →

Curico Unido goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

CD ANTOFAGASTADWWWWDLDLW1.80 PPG

CURICO UNIDODWLLLLWLDW1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD ANTOFAGASTA HOMExCURICO UNIDO AWAY

1.68SCORED A GAME0.930.93CONCEDED A GAME1.5040%BOTH SCORED30%60%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.61CORNERS A GAME4.432.07CARDS A GAME2.79

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.83POINTS A GAME1.20+1.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.60+1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.91.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.412LEAGUE GAMES10

CD Antofagasta: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

59%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CD ANTOFAGASTA OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

CURICO UNIDO OR DRAW

29%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD ANTOFAGASTAxCURICO UNIDO

7GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME0.400.57CONCEDED A GAME2.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.671%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%57%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%43%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CD Antofagasta have scored in 80% of their games.

Curico Unido have scored in 40% of their games.

CD Antofagasta kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Curico Unido kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards