Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United
Match details. League One, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield.
What's at stake. Sheffield Wednesday are 8th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Oxford United, level on points with Mansfield Town. A win would take them above Oxford United. Cambridge United are 6th on 20 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Reading, 1 point clear of Oxford United. A win would take them above Reading.
Form. Sheffield Wednesday have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. In this competition Sheffield Wednesday have gone L L W D D D. Cambridge United have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. In this competition Cambridge United have gone L D W W D D.
The numbers. Sheffield Wednesday score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sheffield Wednesday average 13.1 shots (5.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Cambridge United score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Cambridge United average 15.0 shots (4.9 on target), 9.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Sheffield Wednesday have won three, drawn one and lost none. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 2 Jan 2023, it finished Sheffield Wednesday 5-0 Cambridge United: Sheffield Wednesday had 25 shots to 10, 68% of the ball, one yellow card.
The case against. Cambridge United's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Sheffield Wednesday to win. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sheffield Wednesday the likelier winners; Sheffield Wednesday are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Sheffield Wednesday. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Sheffield Wednesday or Draw at 1.29, 72% on the records (Sheffield Wednesday unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Cambridge United failed to win 6 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Sheffield Wednesday Over 0.5 goals (Sheffield Wednesday's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Cambridge United Over 0.5 goals (Sheffield Wednesday's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Cambridge United (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).