Match details. League One, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Kassam Stadium, Oxford.
What's at stake. Oxford United are 7th on 19 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Cambridge United, 1 point clear of Sheffield Wednesday. A win would take them above Cambridge United. Stockport County FC are 2nd on 23 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Huddersfield, 1 point clear of Bradford. A win would take them above Huddersfield.
Form. Oxford United have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. In this competition Oxford United have gone D W D W D W. Stockport County FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Stockport County FC have gone D W W W W D.
The numbers. Oxford United score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Oxford United average 12.0 shots (4.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Stockport County FC score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Stockport County FC average 17.4 shots (5.1 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 60% of the ball.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Oxford United 1-1 Stockport County FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).