Stenhousemuir FC vs Dunfermline Athletic FC

Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir. The referee is G. Irvine.

What's at stake. Stenhousemuir FC are 2nd on 23 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Partick, 2 points clear of Raith Rovers. A win would take them above Partick. Dunfermline Athletic FC are 5th on 18 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Inverness CT, 1 point clear of Livingston. A win would take them above Inverness CT.

Form. Stenhousemuir FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. Dunfermline Athletic FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W.

The numbers. Stenhousemuir FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Stenhousemuir FC average 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Dunfermline Athletic FC score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Dunfermline Athletic FC average 10.7 shots (3.2 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

Head to head. Dunfermline Athletic FC have won all of the last six meetings. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Dunfermline Athletic FC won four. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2025, it finished Stenhousemuir FC 0-3 Dunfermline Athletic FC.

Where it pulls both ways. Stenhousemuir FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Dunfermline Athletic FC: in the last six meetings, Dunfermline Athletic FC won six. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%; five of the last six meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.38, 70% on the records (Stenhousemuir FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 9; Dunfermline Athletic FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Stenhousemuir FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Dunfermline Athletic FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Stenhousemuir FC 2-1 Dunfermline Athletic FC (8% chance).