Match details. Liga Nacional, Regular Season - 16. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango.
Form. CSD Xelaju MC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition CSD Xelaju MC have gone L W L W L W. CSD Municipal have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D. In this competition CSD Municipal have gone D D L D D W.
The numbers. CSD Xelaju MC score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CSD Xelaju MC average 4.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CSD Municipal score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CSD Municipal average 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings CSD Xelaju MC have won one, drawn three and lost five. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, CSD Xelaju MC won one and CSD Municipal won three. The last time they met, on 23 Aug 2026, it finished CSD Xelaju MC 0-2 CSD Municipal.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. CSD Xelaju MC's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. CSD Municipal to win. A tight game. CSD Municipal are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CSD Municipal. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CSD Municipal or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CSD Municipal Over 0.5 goals (CSD Xelaju MC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CSD Xelaju MC 0-1 CSD Municipal (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).