Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno
Match details. Division de Honor, Clausura - 16. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo. The referee is Derlis Lopez.
What's at stake. Sportivo San Lorenzo are 12th on 4 points after 15 games, 8 points behind Deportivo Recoleta. Cerro Porteno are 7th on 21 points after 15 games, 4 points behind Club Guarani, 2 points clear of Sportivo Ameliano. Sportivo San Lorenzo have nothing left to play for, while Cerro Porteno need the win.
Form. Sportivo San Lorenzo have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D L. In this competition Sportivo San Lorenzo have gone L D D D L L. Cerro Porteno have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W. In this competition Cerro Porteno have gone D W L L W D.
The numbers. Sportivo San Lorenzo score 0.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Sportivo San Lorenzo average 12.8 shots (3.4 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 38% of the ball. Cerro Porteno score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Cerro Porteno average 14.0 shots (4.1 on target), 6.4 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Sportivo San Lorenzo have won one, drawn three and lost five. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and Cerro Porteno won three. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2026, it finished Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-1 Cerro Porteno: Sportivo San Lorenzo had 13 shots to 13, 40% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The read. Cerro Porteno to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cerro Porteno the likelier winners; Cerro Porteno are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cerro Porteno. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Cerro Porteno at 1.10, 87% on the records (Cerro Porteno unbeaten in 3 of 5 away; Sportivo San Lorenzo failed to win 5 of 5 at home). Backup: Cerro Porteno win or both teams score at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Cerro Porteno or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Sportivo San Lorenzo 1-2 Cerro Porteno (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).