Match details. Division de Honor, Clausura - 16. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio Arsenio Erico, Asunción. The referee is Blas Romero.
What's at stake. Nacional Asuncion are 2nd on 29 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Olimpia, 1 point clear of 2 de Mayo. A win would take them above Olimpia. Sportivo Trinidense are 4th on 27 points after 15 games, 1 point behind 2 de Mayo, level on points with Libertad Asuncion. A win would take them above 2 de Mayo.
Form. Nacional Asuncion have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. In this competition Nacional Asuncion have gone W W D D W W. Sportivo Trinidense have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. In this competition Sportivo Trinidense have gone W D W W L W.
The numbers. Nacional Asuncion score two and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Nacional Asuncion average 12.9 shots (5.1 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Sportivo Trinidense score 1.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Sportivo Trinidense average 14.4 shots (4.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Nacional Asuncion have won three, drawn five and lost one. One of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Nacional Asuncion won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Sportivo Trinidense: Nacional Asuncion had 6 shots to 24, 34% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Sportivo Trinidense's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Nacional Asuncion to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Nacional Asuncion the likelier winners; Nacional Asuncion are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nacional Asuncion; the meetings favour Nacional Asuncion. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%. Eight of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Nacional Asuncion or Draw at 1.34, 76% on the records (Nacional Asuncion unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Sportivo Trinidense failed to win 5 of 10). Backup: Nacional Asuncion or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nacional Asuncion 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Nacional Asuncion or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.21
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SPO 6 of 10 (60%)85%
Nacional Asuncion: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6 · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
Nacional Asuncion or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.25
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SPO 9 of 10 (90%)83.3%
Nacional Asuncion scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Sportivo Trinidense trailed or failed to win in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Double Chance: Nacional Asuncion or DrawMAININ CODES
1.34
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SPO 5 of 10 (50%)76%
Nacional Asuncion unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense failed to win 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
2nd Half - Double Chance: Nacional Asuncion or Sportivo TrinidensePAGE ONLY
1.48
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SPO 6 of 10 (60%)72.5%
Nacional Asuncion: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
2nd Half - Double Chance: Nacional Asuncion or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.29
NAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SPO 6 of 10 (60%)72.1%
Nacional Asuncion: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
Nacional Asuncion (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.62
NAC 7 of 8 (88%) · SPO 3 of 8 (38%)71.3%
Nacional Asuncion won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Sportivo Trinidense lost 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 2 of 3 · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 2
Nacional Asuncion to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.30
NAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SPO 3 of 10 (30%)55.5%
Nacional Asuncion won 4 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense lost 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · H2H 2 of 6 · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SPO 10 of 10 (100%)95.6%
Nacional Asuncion: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.24
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SPO 8 of 10 (80%)75.1%
Nacional Asuncion: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
NAC 3 of 5 (60%) · SPO 5 of 10 (50%)53.6%
Nacional Asuncion: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 5 of 6 · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
NACIONAL ASUNCION GOALS
Nacional Asuncion Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.30
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SPO 7 of 10 (70%)78.4%
Nacional Asuncion scored in 5 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
SPORTIVO TRINIDENSE GOALS
Sportivo Trinidense Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.36
NAC 6 of 10 (60%) · SPO 5 of 5 (100%)73.7%
Sportivo Trinidense scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional Asuncion conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.27
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SPO 8 of 10 (80%)80%
Nacional Asuncion: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.33
NAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SPO 8 of 10 (80%)77.9%
Nacional Asuncion: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Sportivo Trinidense: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAC 6 of 8 (75%) · SPO 8 of 8 (100%)87.5%
Nacional Asuncion's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sportivo Trinidense's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Nacional Asuncion: only games against sides at Sportivo Trinidense's level · Sportivo Trinidense: only games against sides at Nacional Asuncion's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.5%
Nacional Asuncion goals →
Sportivo Trinidense goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
NACIONAL ASUNCIONWWWLWWDDWW2.30 PPG
SPORTIVO TRINIDENSEDLWLWLWWDW1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NACIONAL ASUNCION HOMExSPORTIVO TRINIDENSE AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.400.30CONCEDED A GAME0.9060%CLEAN SHEETS20%13%FAILED TO SCORE20%5.25CORNERS A GAME5.251.75CARDS A GAME2.75
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.86POINTS A GAME1.71+0.86GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.57–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.22.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.014LEAGUE GAMES14
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
35%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NACIONAL ASUNCION OR DRAW
81%
OKAY · 80/85
SPORTIVO TRINIDENSE OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NACIONAL ASUNCIONxSPORTIVO TRINIDENSE
6GAMES61.50SCORED A GAME1.670.17CONCEDED A GAME0.831.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.567%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%17%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%17%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
NACIONAL ASUNCION 3 · 33%DRAW 5SPORTIVO TRINIDENSE 1 · 11%