Match details. CONCACAF Central American Cup, Final. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jorge Gonzalez, San Salvador.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. Deportivo Saprissa San Jose have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.
The numbers. CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan score 1.3 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan average 14.4 shots (5.5 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Deportivo Saprissa San Jose score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Deportivo Saprissa San Jose average 16.6 shots (5.7 on target), 7.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 52%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The read. No firm call: CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan the likelier winners; CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Deportivo Saprissa San Jose or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan); Deportivo Saprissa San Jose or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan). Predicted score: CD Luis Angel Firpo Usulutan 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa San Jose (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).