SPAIN - PRIMERA FEDERACION
17:45Sat 24 Oct
UDL
UL
Real Aviles CF vs UD Logrones
CLASS D
THE READ
Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 9. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta. The referee is F. Roman.
What's at stake. Real Aviles CF are 11th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Ponferradina, level on points with Pontevedra. A win would take them above Ponferradina. UD Logrones are 2nd on 17 points after 8 games, 5 points behind Lugo, 1 point clear of Racing Ferrol.
Form. Real Aviles CF have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. UD Logrones have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D.
The numbers. Real Aviles CF score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Real Aviles CF average 8.6 shots (3.9 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.8 cards a game. UD Logrones score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. UD Logrones average 12.0 shots (5.6 on target), 6.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 76%.
The case against. Real Aviles CF's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. UD Logrones to win. UD Logrones are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Logrones.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: UD Logrones or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); UD Logrones 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Real Aviles CF 0-1 UD Logrones (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
UD Logrones or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 8 of 8 (100%) · UDL 5 of 5 (100%)100%
UD Logrones: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Aviles CF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 100% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
UD Logrones or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 4 of 5 (80%) · UDL 7 of 8 (88%)82.5%
UD Logrones scored first 0 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Aviles CF trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 at home · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
Double Chance: Draw or UD LogronesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
REA 7 of 8 (88%) · UDL 3 of 5 (60%)59%
UD Logrones unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Aviles CF failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 79% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 5 of 5 (100%) · UDL 7 of 8 (88%)94.6%
Real Aviles CF: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · UD Logrones: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 5 of 5 (100%) · UDL 8 of 8 (100%)92.4%
Real Aviles CF: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · UD Logrones: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 4 of 5 (80%) · UDL 7 of 8 (88%)86.8%
Real Aviles CF: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · UD Logrones: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.26
REA 4 of 5 (80%) · UDL 8 of 8 (100%)75.2%
Real Aviles CF: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · UD Logrones: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level
REAL AVILES CF GOALS
Real Aviles CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 4 of 5 (80%) · UDL 7 of 8 (88%)76.1%
Real Aviles CF scored in 4 of 5 at home · UD Logrones conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level
Real Aviles CF Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.41
REA 3 of 5 (60%) · UDL 6 of 8 (75%)58.1%
Real Aviles CF scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · UD Logrones conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level
UD LOGRONES GOALS
UD Logrones Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 8 of 8 (100%) · UDL 4 of 5 (80%)70.9%
UD Logrones scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Aviles CF conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 4 of 5 (80%) · UDL 7 of 8 (88%)82.1%
Real Aviles CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · UD Logrones: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 5 of 5 (100%) · UDL 7 of 8 (88%)90.4%
Real Aviles CF's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 5 at home · UD Logrones's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
REA 4 of 5 (80%) · UDL 8 of 8 (100%)91.7%
Real Aviles CF's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · UD Logrones's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Real Aviles CF: only games against sides at UD Logrones's level · UD Logrones: only games against sides at Real Aviles CF's level
Left off the list: UD Logrones or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (63%) and the records (84%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); UD Logrones 1UP (the numbers (49%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 7.8%
Real Aviles CF goals →
UD Logrones goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-28%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41.0%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
REAL AVILES CFLDLLWDDLWW1.20 PPG
UD LOGRONESWLWWWDWWLD2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
REAL AVILES CF HOMExUD LOGRONES AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME1.801.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS20%12%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.70CORNERS A GAME6.332.80CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.38POINTS A GAME2.12+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.75-1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.51.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES8
UD Logrones: the quality side - more points a game.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
REAL AVILES CF OR DRAW
36%
NO · 80/85
UD LOGRONES OR DRAW
63%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
REAL AVILES CFxUD LOGRONES
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME2.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.803.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE100%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.89.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Real Aviles CF have scored in 90% of their games.
UD Logrones have scored in 90% of their games.
Real Aviles CF kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
UD Logrones kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards