Tartu JK Welco vs JK Tallinna Kalev
Match details. Esiliiga, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu.
What's at stake. Tartu JK Welco are 1st on 71 points after 33 games, 14 points clear of Viimsi. JK Tallinna Kalev are 7th on 37 points after 31 games, 6 points behind Maardu, 1 point clear of Nõmme United II. JK Tallinna Kalev have nothing left to play for.
Form. Tartu JK Welco have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Tartu JK Welco have gone W W W W W D. JK Tallinna Kalev have won two, drawn two and lost five of their last nine, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D. In this competition JK Tallinna Kalev have gone L L D L D L.
The numbers. Tartu JK Welco score 3.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Tartu JK Welco average 5.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game. JK Tallinna Kalev score 1.2 and concede 1.9 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. JK Tallinna Kalev average 6.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Tartu JK Welco have won one, drawn one and lost four. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Tartu JK Welco won one, one was drawn and JK Tallinna Kalev won two. The last time they met, on 5 Sep 2026, it finished Tartu JK Welco 1-1 JK Tallinna Kalev.
The case against. JK Tallinna Kalev's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Tartu JK Welco to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tartu JK Welco the likelier winners; Tartu JK Welco are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tartu JK Welco. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The bets. Best bet: Tartu JK Welco 1UP at 1.19, 77% on the records (Tartu JK Welco scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 4 of 5 at home). Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Tartu JK Welco are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Tartu JK Welco 2-1 JK Tallinna Kalev (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).