Carabobo FC vs Mineros de Guayana
Match details. Copa Venezuela, Round of 16. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia.
What's at stake. Mineros de Guayana are 2nd on 10 points after 6 games, 5 points behind Monagas SC, 3 points clear of Bolívar. Mineros de Guayana have nothing left to play for. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Carabobo FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. Mineros de Guayana have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. Carabobo FC score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Carabobo FC average 11.3 shots (3.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Mineros de Guayana score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mineros de Guayana average 10.3 shots (4.0 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Carabobo FC have won five, drawn two and lost two. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Carabobo FC won four. The last time they met, on 22 Jul 2023, it finished Carabobo FC 6-1 Mineros de Guayana.
Where it pulls both ways. Mineros de Guayana are the form side, but the meetings favour Carabobo FC: in the last nine meetings, Carabobo FC won five, Mineros de Guayana won two and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Carabobo FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Mineros de Guayana or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Carabobo FC 1-1 Mineros de Guayana (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).