Match details. Copa Venezuela, Round of 16. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Complejo Deportivo Socialista, Carabobo.
What's at stake. Deportivo Rayo Zuliano are 1st on 12 points after 6 games, 5 points clear of Deportivo Lara. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Academia Puerto Cabello have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. Deportivo Rayo Zuliano have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D.
The numbers. Academia Puerto Cabello score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Academia Puerto Cabello average 13.7 shots (4.9 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Deportivo Rayo Zuliano score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Deportivo Rayo Zuliano average 8.4 shots (3.9 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Academia Puerto Cabello have won four, drawn one and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Academia Puerto Cabello won two, one was drawn and Deportivo Rayo Zuliano won one. The last time they met, on 15 Aug 2026, it finished Academia Puerto Cabello 2-0 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 84% against the records' 46%.
The read. No firm call: Academia Puerto Cabello are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Academia Puerto Cabello the likelier winners; Academia Puerto Cabello are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Academia Puerto Cabello. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Academia Puerto Cabello 2-1 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).