THE READ
Match details. Carioca, Serie B1. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. EC Nova Cidade RJ have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W D L L. Macae Esporte FC RJ have won two, drawn one and lost four of their last seven league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W D L.
The numbers. EC Nova Cidade RJ score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. EC Nova Cidade RJ average 9.7 shots (4.1 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game. Macae Esporte FC RJ score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Macae Esporte FC RJ average 6.2 shots (2.7 on target), 2.0 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
The case against. Macae Esporte FC RJ's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. EC Nova Cidade RJ to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make EC Nova Cidade RJ the likelier winners; EC Nova Cidade RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour EC Nova Cidade RJ. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. Best bet: EC Nova Cidade RJ or Draw at 1.32, rated 76% (EC Nova Cidade RJ unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Macae Esporte FC RJ failed to win 6 of 8). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: EC Nova Cidade RJ 1-0 Macae Esporte FC RJ (12% chance).
The agreed story. EC Nova Cidade RJ or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: EC Nova Cidade RJ or DrawMAININ CODES
1.30
ECN 4 of 5 (80%) · MAC 6 of 8 (75%)76.8%
EC Nova Cidade RJ unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
EC Nova Cidade RJ or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECN 3 of 5 (60%) · MAC 7 of 8 (88%)74.8%
EC Nova Cidade RJ: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
EC Nova Cidade RJ or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECN 3 of 5 (60%) · MAC 4 of 7 (57%)66.7%
EC Nova Cidade RJ scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Macae Esporte FC RJ trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
EC Nova Cidade RJ or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECN 5 of 5 (100%) · MAC 6 of 8 (75%)64.5%
EC Nova Cidade RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
EC Nova Cidade RJ (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.60
ECN 3 of 6 (50%) · MAC 5 of 7 (71%)61.7%
EC Nova Cidade RJ won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Macae Esporte FC RJ lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level · won 8, refunded 1, lost 1
EC Nova Cidade RJ to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.25
ECN 3 of 5 (60%) · MAC 5 of 8 (62%)38.3%
EC Nova Cidade RJ won 3 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 46% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
GOALS
no price yet
ECN 5 of 5 (100%) · MAC 7 of 8 (88%)94.8%
EC Nova Cidade RJ: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
no price yet
ECN 5 of 5 (100%) · MAC 6 of 8 (75%)88.5%
EC Nova Cidade RJ: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
EC NOVA CIDADE RJ GOALS
EC Nova Cidade RJ Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECN 5 of 5 (100%) · MAC 6 of 8 (75%)64.5%
EC Nova Cidade RJ scored in 5 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECN 5 of 5 (100%) · MAC 6 of 8 (75%)88.5%
EC Nova Cidade RJ: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.14
ECN 3 of 5 (60%) · MAC 7 of 8 (88%)76.4%
EC Nova Cidade RJ: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ECN 3 of 5 (60%) · MAC 6 of 8 (75%)70.2%
EC Nova Cidade RJ: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · on half-time scores · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
CARDS
no price yet
ECN 5 of 5 (100%) · MAC 4 of 6 (67%)83.3%
EC Nova Cidade RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · Macae Esporte FC RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · EC Nova Cidade RJ: only games against sides at Macae Esporte FC RJ's level · Macae Esporte FC RJ: only games against sides at EC Nova Cidade RJ's level
Left off the list: EC Nova Cidade RJ or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (42%) and the records (75%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); EC Nova Cidade RJ or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
TRENDS
EC Nova Cidade RJ have scored in 70% of their games.
Macae Esporte FC RJ have scored in 50% of their games.
EC Nova Cidade RJ kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Macae Esporte FC RJ kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.