Estudiantes de Merida vs Caracas FC

Match details. Copa Venezuela, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Caracas FC are 1st on 13 points after 6 games, 3 points clear of Aragua FC. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Estudiantes de Merida have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. Caracas FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.

The numbers. Estudiantes de Merida score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Estudiantes de Merida average 14.0 shots (4.2 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Caracas FC score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Caracas FC average 9.2 shots (3.8 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Estudiantes de Merida have won three, drawn six and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Estudiantes de Merida won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 3 Aug 2026, it finished Estudiantes de Merida 2-2 Caracas FC.

Where it pulls both ways. Caracas FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Estudiantes de Merida: in the last ten meetings, Estudiantes de Merida won three, Caracas FC won one and six were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Caracas FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Estudiantes de Merida or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Estudiantes de Merida 1-1 Caracas FC (13% chance).