AMATL

12:00Sun 25 Oct

REA

Atletico Madrid B vs Real Jaen CF

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. The referee is A. Clemente Ortuno.

What's at stake. Atletico Madrid B are 14th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Algeciras, level on points with Sant Andreu. A win would take them above Algeciras. Real Jaen CF are 5th on 15 points after 8 games, level on points with FC Cartagena, 2 points clear of Alcorcon. A win would take them above FC Cartagena.

Form. Atletico Madrid B have won two, drawn three and lost three of their last eight, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. In this competition Atletico Madrid B have gone L D L L D W. Real Jaen CF have won four, drawn three and lost one of their last eight, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W. In this competition Real Jaen CF have gone W D D L W W.

The numbers. Atletico Madrid B score two and concede 1.8 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets. Real Jaen CF score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal.

The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Real Jaen CF or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Atletico Madrid B 2-2 Real Jaen CF (6% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 7 of 8 (88%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%

Atletico Madrid B: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Jaen CF: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Jaen CF's level · Real Jaen CF: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

ATL 7 of 8 (88%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)75%

Atletico Madrid B: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Jaen CF: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Jaen CF's level · Real Jaen CF: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.57

ATL 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 4 of 8 (50%)62.5%

Atletico Madrid B: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Real Jaen CF: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Jaen CF's level · Real Jaen CF: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level

REAL JAEN CF GOALS

Real Jaen CF Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)68.8%

Real Jaen CF scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Madrid B conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Real Jaen CF: only games against sides at Atletico Madrid B's level · Atletico Madrid B: only games against sides at Real Jaen CF's level

Left off the list: Real Jaen CF or Over 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Real Jaen CF or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 6.4%

Atletico Madrid B goals →

Real Jaen CF goals ↓

0-05%

1-06%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-17%

1-111%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-35%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.6%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 8

ATLETICO MADRID BDWWDLLDL1.12 PPG

REAL JAEN CFWDWWLDDW1.88 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATLETICO MADRID B HOMExREAL JAEN CF AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME1.501.75CONCEDED A GAME1.0038%CLEAN SHEETS50%12%FAILED TO SCORE25%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.12POINTS A GAME1.88+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+0.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES8

Real Jaen CF: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

ATLETICO MADRID B OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

REAL JAEN CF OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ATLETICO MADRID BxREAL JAEN CF

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.202.40CONCEDED A GAME1.204.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Atletico Madrid B failed to score in 12% of their games.

Real Jaen CF failed to score in 25% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table