SD Ponferradina vs Barakaldo CF
Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 9. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. The referee is J. Lopez.
What's at stake. SD Ponferradina are 10th on 12 points after 8 games, level on points with Cacereño, 1 point clear of Real Avilés. A win would take them above Cacereño. Barakaldo CF are 15th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Extremadura 1924, 1 point clear of Deportivo La Coruña II. A win would take them above Extremadura 1924.
Form. SD Ponferradina have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. Barakaldo CF have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L.
The numbers. SD Ponferradina score 0.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. SD Ponferradina average 8.8 shots (3.0 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.3 cards a game. Barakaldo CF score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Barakaldo CF average 11.2 shots (3.6 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings SD Ponferradina have won two, drawn one and lost one. None of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished SD Ponferradina 1-0 Barakaldo CF.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 18%. Four of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, 76% on the records (SD Ponferradina: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8; Barakaldo CF: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SD Ponferradina or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Barakaldo CF or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 6.5 Corners (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: SD Ponferradina 1-1 Barakaldo CF (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).