CTCDT

17:45Sat 24 Oct

AGU

CD Teruel vs Aguilas FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 9. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Pinilla, Teruel. The referee is R. Ruiperez.

What's at stake. CD Teruel are 18th on 5 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Águilas, 1 point clear of Rayo Majadahonda. A win would take them above Águilas. Aguilas FC are 17th on 6 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Europa Fc, 1 point clear of Teruel. A win would take them above Europa Fc.

Form. CD Teruel have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. Aguilas FC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D.

The numbers. CD Teruel score 0.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Teruel average 5.6 shots (2.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Aguilas FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Aguilas FC average 12.4 shots (4.2 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.6 cards a game.

The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Aguilas FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Aguilas FC Over 0.5 goals (CD Teruel's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Teruel 1-1 Aguilas FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Aguilas FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 2 of 5 (40%) · AGU 4 of 8 (50%)63.3%

Aguilas FC scored first 0 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 2 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Teruel trailed or failed to win in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aguilas FC: only games against sides at CD Teruel's level · CD Teruel: only games against sides at Aguilas FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · AGU 8 of 8 (100%)95.3%

CD Teruel: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aguilas FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Teruel: only games against sides at Aguilas FC's level · Aguilas FC: only games against sides at CD Teruel's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · AGU 7 of 8 (88%)88.2%

CD Teruel: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aguilas FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CD Teruel: only games against sides at Aguilas FC's level · Aguilas FC: only games against sides at CD Teruel's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · AGU 5 of 8 (62%)74.3%

CD Teruel: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aguilas FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · CD Teruel: only games against sides at Aguilas FC's level · Aguilas FC: only games against sides at CD Teruel's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · AGU 4 of 8 (50%)52.7%

CD Teruel: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aguilas FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · CD Teruel: only games against sides at Aguilas FC's level · Aguilas FC: only games against sides at CD Teruel's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 5 of 5 (100%) · AGU 6 of 8 (75%)84.2%

CD Teruel: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aguilas FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · CD Teruel: only games against sides at Aguilas FC's level · Aguilas FC: only games against sides at CD Teruel's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDT 6 of 8 (75%) · AGU 6 of 8 (75%)75%

CD Teruel's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Aguilas FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · CD Teruel: only games against sides at Aguilas FC's level · Aguilas FC: only games against sides at CD Teruel's level

Left off the list: Aguilas FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Aguilas FC Over 0.5 goals (CD Teruel's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

CD Teruel goals →

Aguilas FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD TERUELDLDLLLDLWL0.60 PPG

AGUILAS FCDDDLWDLLDL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD TERUEL HOMExAGUILAS FC AWAY

0.40SCORED A GAME0.801.70CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS30%62%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.38CORNERS A GAME5.002.38CARDS A GAME3.60

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.62POINTS A GAME0.75-1.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.75-5.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.50.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.48LEAGUE GAMES8

Aguilas FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

34%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

CD TERUEL OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

AGUILAS FC OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CD TERUELxAGUILAS FC

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME2.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CD Teruel have scored in 40% of their games.

Aguilas FC have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Teruel kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Aguilas FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards