Arenas Club Getxo vs UD Ourense
Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 9. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal de Fadura, Getxo. The referee is M. R. Marco.
What's at stake. Arenas Club Getxo are 20th on 2 points after 8 games, 3 points behind UD Ourense. A win would take them level on points with UD Ourense. UD Ourense are 19th on 5 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Unionistas de Salamanca, 3 points clear of Arenas Getxo. A win would take them above Unionistas de Salamanca.
Form. Arenas Club Getxo have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. UD Ourense have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L.
The numbers. Arenas Club Getxo score 0.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Arenas Club Getxo average 11.6 shots (5.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. UD Ourense score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. UD Ourense average 6.2 shots (1.6 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: UD Ourense or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); UD Ourense or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Arenas Club Getxo Under 1.5 goals (UD Ourense's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Arenas Club Getxo 1-1 UD Ourense (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).