Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 9. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadium Gal, Irun.
What's at stake. Real Union de Irun are 13th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Mirandes, level on points with Extremadura 1924. A win would take them above Mirandes. CD Lugo are 1st on 22 points after 8 games, 5 points clear of UD Logroñés.
Form. Real Union de Irun have won two, drawn four and lost two of their last eight, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L D. In this competition Real Union de Irun have gone D D D L D L. CD Lugo have won seven, drawn one and lost none of their last eight, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition CD Lugo have gone W W W W W W.
The numbers. Real Union de Irun score 1.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Lugo score 1.9 and concede 0.5 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Real Union de Irun have won one, drawn one and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2025, it finished Real Union de Irun 3-0 CD Lugo.
The read. CD Lugo to win. An open game. CD Lugo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Lugo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Real Union de Irun Under 1.5 goals (Real Union de Irun's own games don't back it (3 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Real Union de Irun 1-2 CD Lugo (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).