CF Montreal vs Forge FC Hamilton
Match details. Canadian Championship, Final. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Saputo Stadium.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. CF Montreal have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. Forge FC Hamilton have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. CF Montreal score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Montreal average 8.9 shots (3.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Forge FC Hamilton score 2.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Forge FC Hamilton average 9.8 shots (4.5 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings CF Montreal have won two, drawn two and lost two. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, two were drawn and Forge FC Hamilton won two. The last time they met, on 9 Jul 2025, it finished CF Montreal 2-2 Forge FC Hamilton.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 23% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Forge FC Hamilton are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Forge FC Hamilton the likelier winners; Forge FC Hamilton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Forge FC Hamilton. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 91% on the records (CF Montreal: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Forge FC Hamilton: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CF Montreal 1-2 Forge FC Hamilton (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).