THE READ
Match details. Copa Uruguay, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Liverpool Montevideo have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Cerro Largo FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. Liverpool Montevideo score 1.3 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Liverpool Montevideo average 8.6 shots (3.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Cerro Largo FC score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Cerro Largo FC average 9.5 shots (3.2 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Liverpool Montevideo have won five, drawn three and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Liverpool Montevideo won one, two were drawn and Cerro Largo FC won one. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished Liverpool Montevideo 1-1 Cerro Largo FC.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Liverpool Montevideo are not clearly stronger.
The read. Liverpool Montevideo or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Liverpool Montevideo the likelier winners; Liverpool Montevideo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Liverpool Montevideo; the meetings favour Liverpool Montevideo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Liverpool Montevideo or Draw at 1.12, 91% on the records (Liverpool Montevideo unbeaten in 7 of 8; Cerro Largo FC failed to win 8 of 8). Backup: Cerro Largo FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Liverpool Montevideo to Win (the signs point different ways); Liverpool Montevideo 1UP (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 1-0 Cerro Largo FC (17% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Liverpool Montevideo or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.21
LIV 5 of 5 (100%) · CER 7 of 8 (88%)95.8%
Liverpool Montevideo scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC trailed or failed to win in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level
Liverpool Montevideo or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 7 of 8 (88%) · CER 8 of 8 (100%)95.3%
Liverpool Montevideo: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level · the call is Liverpool Montevideo or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with
Double Chance: Liverpool Montevideo or DrawMAININ CODES
1.28
LIV 7 of 8 (88%) · CER 8 of 8 (100%)91.1%
Liverpool Montevideo unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC failed to win 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 6 · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level
Liverpool Montevideo (Draw No Bet)HELD · the odds board 66%
1.51
LIV 4 of 5 (80%) · CER 5 of 5 (100%)87.9%
Liverpool Montevideo won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Cerro Largo FC lost 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4 · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 1
1X2 - 2UP: Liverpool MontevideoTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.52
LIV 3 of 5 (60%) · CER 4 of 8 (50%)57.5%
Liverpool Montevideo scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level · the call is Liverpool Montevideo or the draw: a knockout gam
GOALS
no price yet
LIV 8 of 8 (100%) · CER 8 of 8 (100%)100%
Liverpool Montevideo: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level
1.10
LIV 7 of 8 (88%) · CER 8 of 8 (100%)95.3%
Liverpool Montevideo: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level
1.27
LIV 6 of 8 (75%) · CER 8 of 8 (100%)90.6%
Liverpool Montevideo: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 6 of 6 · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level
1.68
LIV 5 of 8 (62%) · CER 6 of 8 (75%)72.4%
Liverpool Montevideo: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level
LIVERPOOL MONTEVIDEO GOALS
Liverpool Montevideo Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.25
LIV 7 of 8 (88%) · CER 7 of 8 (88%)82.3%
Liverpool Montevideo scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 6 · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level
CERRO LARGO FC GOALS
Cerro Largo FC Under 1.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.29
LIV 8 of 8 (100%) · CER 6 of 8 (75%)86.5%
Cerro Largo FC scored under 1.5 in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Liverpool Montevideo conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LIV 7 of 8 (88%) · CER 7 of 8 (88%)90.6%
Liverpool Montevideo: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level
CARDS
no price yet
LIV 8 of 8 (100%) · CER 8 of 8 (100%)100%
Liverpool Montevideo's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Cerro Largo FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Liverpool Montevideo: only games against sides at Cerro Largo FC's level · Cerro Largo FC: only games against sides at Liverpool Montevideo's level
Left off the list: Liverpool Montevideo to Win (the numbers (50%) and the records (55%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Liverpool Montevideo 1UP (the numbers (60%) and the records (81%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
30%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
LIVERPOOL MONTEVIDEO OR DRAW
85%
OKAY · 80/85
CERRO LARGO FC OR DRAW
45%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
LIVERPOOL MONTEVIDEO 5 · 50%DRAW 3CERRO LARGO FC 2 · 20%
3 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-11-10Liverpool Montevideo 3 – 0 Cerro Largo FC
2024-05-12Liverpool Montevideo 2 – 1 Cerro Largo FC
2024-07-06Liverpool Montevideo 0 – 1 Cerro Largo FC
2024-11-13Liverpool Montevideo 0 – 0 Cerro Largo FC
2025-05-18Liverpool Montevideo 1 – 0 Cerro Largo FC
2025-06-07Liverpool Montevideo 2 – 1 Cerro Largo FC
2025-11-07Liverpool Montevideo 0 – 2 Cerro Largo FC
2026-03-01Liverpool Montevideo 2 – 0 Cerro Largo FC