Match details. Cyprus Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Nea Salamina Famagusta have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Apea Akrotiriou have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W.
The numbers. Nea Salamina Famagusta score two and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Nea Salamina Famagusta average 9.3 shots (2.8 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Apea Akrotiriou score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Apea Akrotiriou average 7.1 shots (2.2 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 10 Jan 2026, it finished Nea Salamina Famagusta 2-0 Apea Akrotiriou.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 9% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Apea Akrotiriou are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Apea Akrotiriou are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Apea Akrotiriou. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Nea Salamina Famagusta 1-2 Apea Akrotiriou (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).