AEK Larnaca vs Akritas Chlorakas
Match details. Cyprus Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at AEK Arena, Larnaca.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. AEK Larnaca have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W. Akritas Chlorakas have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L.
The numbers. AEK Larnaca score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AEK Larnaca average 10.2 shots (4.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Akritas Chlorakas score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Akritas Chlorakas average 11.2 shots (3.3 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings AEK Larnaca have won three, drawn two and lost none. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, AEK Larnaca won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 6 Mar 2026, it finished AEK Larnaca 3-0 Akritas Chlorakas.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 55%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No firm call: AEK Larnaca are the better side, but not at this price. AEK Larnaca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AEK Larnaca; the meetings favour AEK Larnaca.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: AEK Larnaca 1-1 Akritas Chlorakas (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).