Match details. Cymru Championship South, South - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th on 13 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Carmarthen Town, level on points with Treowen Stars. A win would take them above Carmarthen Town. Cardiff Draconians are 13th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Pontardawe Town, 1 point clear of Newport City. A win would take them above Pontardawe Town.
Form. Trethomas Bluebirds have won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. In this competition Trethomas Bluebirds have gone W L D D W W. Cardiff Draconians have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W.
The numbers. Trethomas Bluebirds score 2.2 and concede two a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets. Trethomas Bluebirds average 3.3 corners and 0.3 cards a game. Cardiff Draconians score 1.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Cardiff Draconians average 9.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Trethomas Bluebirds have won none, drawn one and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 4 Apr 2026, it finished Trethomas Bluebirds 4-4 Cardiff Draconians.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 90% on the records (Trethomas Bluebirds: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9; Cardiff Draconians: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Trethomas Bluebirds or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Cardiff Draconians or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Trethomas Bluebirds 1-2 Cardiff Draconians (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).