UD Arenal vs CD Manacor
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 11, Group 11 - 8. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. UD Arenal are 16th on 3 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Migjorn, 2 points clear of Sineu. A win would take them above Migjorn. CD Manacor are 3rd on 15 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Ibiza Islas Pitiusas, level on points with Platges Calvià. A win would take them above Ibiza Islas Pitiusas.
Form. UD Arenal have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. CD Manacor have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.
The numbers. UD Arenal score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CD Manacor score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. CD Manacor have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 20 Apr 2024, it finished UD Arenal 1-3 CD Manacor.
The case against. UD Arenal's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. CD Manacor to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Manacor the likelier winners; CD Manacor are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Manacor. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 83%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Manacor Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); CD Manacor Over 1.5 Goals (CD Manacor's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CD Manacor to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: UD Arenal 1-2 CD Manacor (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).