CF Panaderia Pulido vs CD Mensajero
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 12, Group 12 - 1. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CF Panaderia Pulido are 2nd on 13 points after 6 games, 2 points behind UD San Fernando, level on points with Real Unión de Tenerife. A win would take them above UD San Fernando. CD Mensajero are 4th on 11 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Real Unión de Tenerife, 1 point clear of Marino. A win would take them above Real Unión de Tenerife.
Form. CF Panaderia Pulido have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. CD Mensajero have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W L.
The numbers. CF Panaderia Pulido score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CF Panaderia Pulido average 11.0 shots (4.8 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CD Mensajero score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Mensajero average 1.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CF Panaderia Pulido have won five, drawn two and lost three. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, CF Panaderia Pulido won three and CD Mensajero won one. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished CF Panaderia Pulido 3-2 CD Mensajero.
The case against. CD Mensajero's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. CF Panaderia Pulido to win. An open game. CF Panaderia Pulido are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CF Panaderia Pulido. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CF Panaderia Pulido or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CF Panaderia Pulido 2-1 CD Mensajero (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).