Match details. Pro Cup, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Ticha, Varna.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. PFC Cherno More Varna have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W.
The numbers. PFC Cherno More Varna score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. PFC Cherno More Varna average 9.6 shots (4.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.4 cards a game. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv average 8.6 shots (2.9 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings PFC Cherno More Varna have won four, drawn three and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, PFC Cherno More Varna won two, one was drawn and PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv won one. The last time they met, on 6 Sep 2026, it finished PFC Cherno More Varna 0-1 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: six yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 26%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: PFC Cherno More Varna 1-1 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).