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BULGARIA - PRO CUP
PFC Cherno More Varna crestPCPC
16:30Wed 21 Oct
PLPFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv crestPL

PFC Cherno More Varna vs PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Pro Cup, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Ticha, Varna.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. PFC Cherno More Varna have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D L. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W.

The numbers. PFC Cherno More Varna score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. PFC Cherno More Varna average 9.6 shots (4.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.4 cards a game. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv score 0.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv average 8.6 shots (2.9 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings PFC Cherno More Varna have won four, drawn three and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, PFC Cherno More Varna won two, one was drawn and PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv won one. The last time they met, on 6 Sep 2026, it finished PFC Cherno More Varna 0-1 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: six yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 26%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: PFC Cherno More Varna 1-1 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PC 9 of 9 (100%) · PL 5 of 5 (100%)100%
PFC Cherno More Varna: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · PFC Cherno More Varna: only games against sides at PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv's level · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: only games against sides at PFC Cherno More Varna's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PC 7 of 9 (78%) · PL 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
PFC Cherno More Varna: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · H2H 6 of 6 · PFC Cherno More Varna: only games against sides at PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv's level · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: only games against sides at PFC Cherno More Varna's level
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNA GOALS
PFC Cherno More Varna Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PC 6 of 9 (67%) · PL 5 of 5 (100%)81.9%
PFC Cherno More Varna scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · PFC Cherno More Varna: only games against sides at PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv's level · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: only games against sides at PFC Cherno More Varna's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PC 7 of 9 (78%) · PL 5 of 5 (100%)86.1%
PFC Cherno More Varna: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · PFC Cherno More Varna: only games against sides at PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv's level · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: only games against sides at PFC Cherno More Varna's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PC 6 of 7 (86%) · PL 7 of 7 (100%)92.9%
PFC Cherno More Varna's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · PFC Cherno More Varna: only games against sides at PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv's level · PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv: only games against sides at PFC Cherno More Varna's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.6%
PFC Cherno More Varna goals →
PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNALLLWLLDDLW0.80 PPG
PFC LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIVLLLLLWLDDW0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNA HOMExPFC LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME0.601.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS20%36%FAILED TO SCORE55%4.33CORNERS A GAME3.603.43CARDS A GAME2.86
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.40POINTS A GAME0.83-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.67-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.70.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.05LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
16%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNA OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
PFC LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV OR DRAW
65%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNAxPFC LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.601.80CONCEDED A GAME1.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%60%BOTH SCORE40%6.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.46.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
PFC CHERNO MORE VARNA 4 · 40%DRAW 3PFC LOKOMOTIV PLOVDIV 3 · 30%
5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-10-07PFC Cherno More Varna 2 – 2 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2024-04-08PFC Cherno More Varna 0 – 1 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2024-04-28PFC Cherno More Varna 1 – 0 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2024-08-19PFC Cherno More Varna 2 – 1 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2025-02-08PFC Cherno More Varna 1 – 2 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2025-08-23PFC Cherno More Varna 1 – 1 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2026-02-15PFC Cherno More Varna 1 – 1 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2026-04-26PFC Cherno More Varna 1 – 0 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv
TRENDS
PFC Cherno More Varna have scored in 70% of their games.
PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv have scored in 50% of their games.
PFC Cherno More Varna kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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