Newport City FC vs Pontypridd Town
Match details. Cymru Championship South, South - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Newport City FC are 14th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Cardiff Draconians, level on points with Llantwit Major. A win would take them above Cardiff Draconians. Pontypridd Town are 2nd on 20 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Swansea University, 1 point clear of Aberystwyth Town. A win would take them above Swansea University.
Form. Newport City FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D W. Pontypridd Town have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. In this competition Pontypridd Town have gone D W L W L D.
The numbers. Newport City FC score two and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Newport City FC average 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Pontypridd Town score 2.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Pontypridd Town average 6.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Newport City FC have won two, drawn one and lost one. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 5 Dec 2025, it finished Newport City FC 0-0 Pontypridd Town.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%; three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Newport City FC's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Pontypridd Town to win. Pontypridd Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pontypridd Town.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Pontypridd Town at 1.45, 73% on the records (Pontypridd Town unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; Newport City FC failed to win 6 of 10). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16 (79%). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Pontypridd Town (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); Newport City FC Under 1.5 goals (Newport City FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: Newport City FC 1-2 Pontypridd Town (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).