Real Potosi vs Club Bolivar
Match details. Copa Bolivia, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Real Potosi have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. Club Bolivar have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Real Potosi score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Real Potosi average 15.0 shots (5.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Club Bolivar score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Club Bolivar average 20.4 shots (7.6 on target), 7.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Real Potosi have won none, drawn one and lost nine. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Club Bolivar won four. The last time they met, on 26 Jul 2026, it finished Real Potosi 1-2 Club Bolivar: Real Potosi had 12 shots to 14, 33% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. A knockout game (Quarter-finals) with penalties if level, and Club Bolivar are not clearly stronger. Real Potosi's record still gives them 25% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Club Bolivar or the draw. An open game. Club Bolivar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Club Bolivar; the meetings favour Club Bolivar. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Club Bolivar or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Real Potosi 1-2 Club Bolivar (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).