PJPAR

17:00Wed 28 Oct

FCK

Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Kuressaare

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Parnu Rannastaadion.

What's at stake. Parnu JK Vaprus are 7th on 36 points after 33 games, 11 points behind Laagri, 1 point clear of Kuressaare. FC Kuressaare are 8th on 35 points after 33 games, 1 point behind Vaprus, 1 point clear of Nõmme United. A win would take them above Vaprus.

Form. Parnu JK Vaprus have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. FC Kuressaare have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.

The numbers. Parnu JK Vaprus score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Parnu JK Vaprus average 3.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game. FC Kuressaare score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Kuressaare average 5.1 corners and 1.2 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Parnu JK Vaprus have won four, drawn one and lost three. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Parnu JK Vaprus won two, one was drawn and FC Kuressaare won one. The last time they met, on 29 Aug 2026, it finished Parnu JK Vaprus 2-2 FC Kuressaare.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Parnu JK Vaprus the likelier winners, but FC Kuressaare are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: FC Kuressaare or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Kuressaare win or both teams score (no result call); FC Kuressaare or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 FC Kuressaare (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PAR 8 of 9 (89%) · FCK 9 of 9 (100%)96.1%

Parnu JK Vaprus: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Kuressaare: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Kuressaare's level · FC Kuressaare: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

PAR 6 of 9 (67%) · FCK 9 of 9 (100%)90.5%

Parnu JK Vaprus: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Kuressaare: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Kuressaare's level · FC Kuressaare: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

PAR 8 of 9 (89%) · FCK 6 of 9 (67%)68.4%

Parnu JK Vaprus: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Kuressaare: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 6 · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Kuressaare's level · FC Kuressaare: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

PAR 5 of 9 (56%) · FCK 3 of 9 (33%)52.4%

Parnu JK Vaprus: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Kuressaare: both scored in 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 44% · H2H 3 of 6 · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Kuressaare's level · FC Kuressaare: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level

PARNU JK VAPRUS GOALS

Parnu JK Vaprus Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

PAR 6 of 9 (67%) · FCK 6 of 9 (67%)71%

Parnu JK Vaprus scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Kuressaare conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 5 of 6 · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Kuressaare's level · FC Kuressaare: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level

FC KURESSAARE GOALS

FC Kuressaare Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.23

PAR 5 of 9 (56%) · FCK 8 of 9 (89%)63.1%

FC Kuressaare scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Parnu JK Vaprus conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 6 · FC Kuressaare: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Kuressaare's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

PAR 7 of 9 (78%) · FCK 7 of 9 (78%)79.2%

Parnu JK Vaprus: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Kuressaare: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Kuressaare's level · FC Kuressaare: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.15

PAR 9 of 9 (100%) · FCK 6 of 9 (67%)79.2%

Parnu JK Vaprus: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Kuressaare: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Parnu JK Vaprus: only games against sides at FC Kuressaare's level · FC Kuressaare: only games against sides at Parnu JK Vaprus's level

Left off the list: FC Kuressaare or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Kuressaare win or both teams score (no result call); FC Kuressaare or Draw (1UP) (no result call); FC Kuressaare or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Parnu JK Vaprus Under 1.5 goals (Parnu JK Vaprus's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); FC Kuressaare 1UP (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

Parnu JK Vaprus goals →

FC Kuressaare goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

PARNU JK VAPRUSLLDDLLLWWL0.80 PPG

FC KURESSAARELLWWWDLLWD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PARNU JK VAPRUS HOMExFC KURESSAARE AWAY

1.36SCORED A GAME1.032.03CONCEDED A GAME1.5810%CLEAN SHEETS30%21%FAILED TO SCORE48%3.64CORNERS A GAME5.122.15CARDS A GAME1.18

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.91POINTS A GAME0.82-0.91GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.73-1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.40.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.811LEAGUE GAMES11

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

71%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

PARNU JK VAPRUS OR DRAW

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

FC KURESSAARE OR DRAW

50%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PARNU JK VAPRUSxFC KURESSAARE

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME0.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

PARNU JK VAPRUS 4 · 50%DRAW 1FC KURESSAARE 3 · 38%

4 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-10-06Parnu JK Vaprus 3 – 1 FC Kuressaare

2025-04-18Parnu JK Vaprus 0 – 1 FC Kuressaare

2025-06-01Parnu JK Vaprus 2 – 1 FC Kuressaare

2025-07-20Parnu JK Vaprus 1 – 2 FC Kuressaare

2025-10-21Parnu JK Vaprus 0 – 1 FC Kuressaare

2026-04-21Parnu JK Vaprus 1 – 0 FC Kuressaare

2026-06-26Parnu JK Vaprus 1 – 0 FC Kuressaare

2026-08-29Parnu JK Vaprus 2 – 2 FC Kuressaare

TRENDS

Parnu JK Vaprus have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Kuressaare have scored in 60% of their games.

Parnu JK Vaprus kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

FC Kuressaare kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards