Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers AFC
Match details. Premier Division, Semi-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Mounthawk Park, Tralee.
What's at stake. Kerry FC are 4th on 52 points after 36 games, 2 points behind Bray Wanderers, level on points with Longford Town. A win would take them above Bray Wanderers. Bray Wanderers AFC are 3rd on 54 points after 36 games, 2 points behind UCD, 2 points clear of Kerry FC. A win would take them above UCD. Kerry FC have nothing left to play for. Bray Wanderers AFC have nothing left to play for. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Kerry FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. In this competition Kerry FC have gone D W W W L L. Bray Wanderers AFC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition Bray Wanderers AFC have gone L D L W W W.
The numbers. Kerry FC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Kerry FC average 9.7 shots (5.1 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Bray Wanderers AFC score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Bray Wanderers AFC average 11.6 shots (4.3 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Kerry FC have won two, drawn two and lost six. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Kerry FC won one, one was drawn and Bray Wanderers AFC won two. The last time they met, on 11 Sep 2026, it finished Kerry FC 0-1 Bray Wanderers AFC.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Kerry FC are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Bray Wanderers AFC. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Bray Wanderers AFC's record still gives them 36% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Kerry FC or the draw. An open game. Kerry FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Bray Wanderers AFC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 76% on the records (Kerry FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Bray Wanderers AFC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Kerry FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Kerry FC 2-1 Bray Wanderers AFC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).