Match details. Cymru Championship South, South - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stebonheath Park, Llanelli.
What's at stake. Llanelli Town are 16th on 2 points after 11 games, 6 points behind Llantwit Major. Afan Lido are 10th on 12 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Treowen Stars, 1 point clear of Caerphilly Athletic. A win would take them above Treowen Stars.
Form. Llanelli Town have won none, drawn two and lost eight of their last ten, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Llanelli Town have gone L L L L L L. Afan Lido have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W L. In this competition Afan Lido have gone D L D W L D.
The numbers. Llanelli Town score 0.8 and concede 2.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Llanelli Town average 4.0 cards a game. Afan Lido score one and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Afan Lido average 3.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Llanelli Town have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Llanelli Town won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 28 Mar 2025, it finished Llanelli Town 1-1 Afan Lido.
Where it pulls both ways. Afan Lido are the form side, but the meetings favour Llanelli Town: in the last ten meetings, Llanelli Town won seven, Afan Lido won one and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 82% on the records (Llanelli Town: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; Afan Lido: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Llanelli Town or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Afan Lido or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Llanelli Town 1-2 Afan Lido (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).