Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF
Match details. Superettan, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 19:05 Lagos time. It is played at Behrn Arena, Orebro. The referee is Farouk Nehdi.
What's at stake. Orebro SK are 15th on 26 points after 27 games, level on points with IK brage, 7 points clear of GIF Sundsvall. A win would take them above IK brage. Falkenbergs FF are 2nd on 51 points after 27 games, 8 points behind IFK Norrkoping, 3 points clear of Ostersunds FK.
Form. Orebro SK have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. Falkenbergs FF have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Orebro SK score 1.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Orebro SK average 12.0 shots (4.1 on target), 2.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Falkenbergs FF score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Falkenbergs FF average 10.7 shots (4.7 on target), 1.9 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Orebro SK have won four, drawn one and lost four. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Orebro SK won one, one was drawn and Falkenbergs FF won two. The last time they met, on 14 Jun 2026, it finished Orebro SK 1-1 Falkenbergs FF.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%; seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Orebro SK's record still gives them 25% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Falkenbergs FF to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Falkenbergs FF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Falkenbergs FF. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.41, 73% on the records (Orebro SK: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Falkenbergs FF: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Falkenbergs FF or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Orebro SK Under 1.5 goals (Orebro SK's own games don't back it (4 of 9)). Predicted score: Orebro SK 0-1 Falkenbergs FF (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).