TBTRE

19:45Fri 23 Oct

FLI

Trefelin BGC vs Flint Town United

CLASS D

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class D

TBv

Under 3.5 Goals

Trefelin BGC v Flint Town United

Wales - Cymru Premier · 19:45

1.54odds

65%book

+15edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Ynys Park, Cwmafan.

What's at stake. Trefelin BGC are 15th on 6 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Flint Town United, 4 points clear of Holywell. A win would take them above Flint Town United. Flint Town United are 14th on 8 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Ammanford AFC, 2 points clear of Trefelin. A win would take them above Ammanford AFC.

Form. Trefelin BGC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. Flint Town United have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L.

The numbers. Trefelin BGC score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Trefelin BGC average 2.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Flint Town United score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Flint Town United average 0.8 corners and 0.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.54, 73% on the records (Trefelin BGC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Flint Town United: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Trefelin BGC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Flint Town United or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Trefelin BGC 1-1 Flint Town United (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TRE 9 of 9 (100%) · FLI 5 of 5 (100%)96.2%

Trefelin BGC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Flint Town United: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Trefelin BGC: only games against sides at Flint Town United's level · Flint Town United: only games against sides at Trefelin BGC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.22

TRE 9 of 9 (100%) · FLI 3 of 5 (60%)90.7%

Trefelin BGC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Flint Town United: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Trefelin BGC: only games against sides at Flint Town United's level · Flint Town United: only games against sides at Trefelin BGC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.54

TRE 6 of 9 (67%) · FLI 3 of 5 (60%)80%

Trefelin BGC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Flint Town United: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · Trefelin BGC: only games against sides at Flint Town United's level · Flint Town United: only games against sides at Trefelin BGC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.30

TRE 4 of 9 (44%) · FLI 2 of 5 (40%)57.4%

Trefelin BGC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Flint Town United: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 44% · Trefelin BGC: only games against sides at Flint Town United's level · Flint Town United: only games against sides at Trefelin BGC's level

Left off the list: Trefelin BGC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Flint Town United or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the numbers (78%) and the records (98%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13%

Trefelin BGC goals →

Flint Town United goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

TREFELIN BGCWWLLDLLDLD0.90 PPG

FLINT TOWN UNITEDLLWWLLDLLD0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TREFELIN BGC HOMExFLINT TOWN UNITED AWAY

0.62SCORED A GAME0.922.38CONCEDED A GAME1.920%CLEAN SHEETS20%54%FAILED TO SCORE38%2.40CORNERS A GAME0.781.40CARDS A GAME0.56

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.55POINTS A GAME0.70-1.82GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.90-4.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES10

Flint Town United: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

57%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

TREFELIN BGC OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

FLINT TOWN UNITED OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TREFELIN BGCxFLINT TOWN UNITED

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.202.00CONCEDED A GAME1.203.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Trefelin BGC have scored in 70% of their games.

Flint Town United have scored in 70% of their games.

Trefelin BGC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Flint Town United kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards