The New Saints FC vs Ammanford
Match details. Cymru Premier, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Park Hall, Oswestry.
What's at stake. The New Saints FC are 1st on 37 points after 13 games, 6 points clear of GAP Connah S Quay FC. Ammanford are 13th on 9 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Haverfordwest County AFC, 1 point clear of Flint Town United. A win would take them above Haverfordwest County AFC.
Form. The New Saints FC have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their last ten, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Ammanford have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.
The numbers. The New Saints FC score 4.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. The New Saints FC average 2.8 corners and 0.5 cards a game. Ammanford score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ammanford average 1.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 98% against the records' 73%.
The read. No firm call: The New Saints FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make The New Saints FC the likelier winners; The New Saints FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour The New Saints FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: The New Saints FC 2-1 Ammanford (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).