FK Mornar Bar vs OFK Mladost DG
Match details. 1. CFL, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Topolica, Bar.
What's at stake. FK Mornar Bar are 4th on 17 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Buducnost Podgorica, 2 points clear of Dečić. A win would take them above Buducnost Podgorica. OFK Mladost DG are 7th on 12 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Bokelj, 1 point clear of Jezero. A win would take them level on points with Bokelj.
Form. FK Mornar Bar have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L L. In this competition FK Mornar Bar have gone W D D L L W. OFK Mladost DG have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W. In this competition OFK Mladost DG have gone D D L L W W.
The numbers. FK Mornar Bar score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. OFK Mladost DG score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FK Mornar Bar have won eight, drawn one and lost none. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, FK Mornar Bar won four. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2026, it finished FK Mornar Bar 3-2 OFK Mladost DG.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. FK Mornar Bar to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Mornar Bar the likelier winners; FK Mornar Bar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Mornar Bar; the meetings favour FK Mornar Bar. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: FK Mornar Bar or Draw at 1.12, 74% on the records (FK Mornar Bar unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; OFK Mladost DG failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: FK Mornar Bar Over 0.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FK Mornar Bar or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Mornar Bar 2-1 OFK Mladost DG (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).