Match details. TOPLYGA, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FK Kauno Zalgiris are 1st on 54 points after 29 games, 4 points clear of FK Zalgiris Vilnius. Vilnius FK Zalgiris are 2nd on 50 points after 30 games, 4 points behind Kauno Žalgiris, level on points with Suduva Marijampole. Vilnius FK Zalgiris have nothing left to play for.
Form. FK Kauno Zalgiris have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Vilnius FK Zalgiris have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. FK Kauno Zalgiris score 2.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. FK Kauno Zalgiris average 5.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Vilnius FK Zalgiris score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Vilnius FK Zalgiris average 5.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FK Kauno Zalgiris have won four, drawn one and lost four. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FK Kauno Zalgiris won one and Vilnius FK Zalgiris won three. The last time they met, on 16 Sep 2026, it finished FK Kauno Zalgiris 2-3 Vilnius FK Zalgiris.
The case against. Vilnius FK Zalgiris's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. FK Kauno Zalgiris to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Kauno Zalgiris the likelier winners; FK Kauno Zalgiris are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Kauno Zalgiris. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: FK Kauno Zalgiris or Draw (1UP) at 1.16, 85% on the records (FK Kauno Zalgiris scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5; led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6). Backup: FK Kauno Zalgiris or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.29. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FK Kauno Zalgiris or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (FK Kauno Zalgiris are a clear winner, no Unders); Vilnius FK Zalgiris Under 1.5 goals (Vilnius FK Zalgiris's own games don't back it (4 of 9)). Predicted score: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 Vilnius FK Zalgiris (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).