Pacific FC vs Forge FC Hamilton
Pacific FC scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Forge FC Hamilton conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Pacific FC: only games against sides at Forge FC Hamilton's level · Forge FC Hamilton: only games against sides at Pacific FC's level
Match details. Canadian Premier League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Westhills Stadium, Langford.
What's at stake. Pacific FC are 8th on 14 points after 27 games, 13 points behind York United. Forge FC Hamilton are 2nd on 57 points after 27 games, level on points with Cavalry FC, 14 points clear of Atlético Ottawa. A win would take them above Cavalry FC. Pacific FC have nothing left to play for, while Forge FC Hamilton need the win.
Form. Pacific FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. In this competition Pacific FC have gone L L L L W D. Forge FC Hamilton have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. In this competition Forge FC Hamilton have gone W W W D D D.
The numbers. Pacific FC score 1.4 and concede 2.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Pacific FC average 10.4 shots (3.0 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Forge FC Hamilton score 2.1 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Forge FC Hamilton average 16.8 shots (5.8 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Pacific FC have won one, drawn none and lost nine. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Forge FC Hamilton won four. The last time they met, on 7 Oct 2026, it finished Pacific FC 0-3 Forge FC Hamilton: Pacific FC had 2 shots to 23, 46% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 74% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Forge FC Hamilton are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Forge FC Hamilton are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Forge FC Hamilton. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.12, 76% on the records (Pacific FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Forge FC Hamilton: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Forge FC Hamilton are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Forge FC Hamilton are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Pacific FC 1-2 Forge FC Hamilton (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).