ASD Pineto Calcio vs AS Gubbio
Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 11. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto.
What's at stake. ASD Pineto Calcio are 15th on 11 points after 10 games, level on points with Forli, 2 points clear of Ostia Mare. A win would take them above Forli. AS Gubbio are 19th on 7 points after 10 games, level on points with Sambenedettese, 3 points clear of Vis Pesaro. A win would take them above Sambenedettese.
Form. ASD Pineto Calcio have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. AS Gubbio have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. ASD Pineto Calcio score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. ASD Pineto Calcio average 10.3 shots (3.8 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AS Gubbio score 1.5 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. AS Gubbio average 4.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings ASD Pineto Calcio have won two, drawn one and lost five. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, ASD Pineto Calcio won two and AS Gubbio won two. The last time they met, on 14 Aug 2026, it finished ASD Pineto Calcio 1-2 AS Gubbio.
Where it pulls both ways. ASD Pineto Calcio are the form side, but the meetings favour AS Gubbio: in the last eight meetings, ASD Pineto Calcio won two, AS Gubbio won five and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: ASD Pineto Calcio 1-1 AS Gubbio (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).