US Sambenedettese vs US Livorno 1915
US Sambenedettese scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · US Livorno 1915 conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 2 of 3 · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at US Livorno 1915's level · US Livorno 1915: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level
Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto. The referee is A. Diop.
What's at stake. US Sambenedettese are 18th on 7 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Pianese, level on points with Gubbio. A win would take them above Pianese. US Livorno 1915 are 6th on 16 points after 10 games, level on points with Guidonia Montecelio 1937, level on points with Perugia. A win would take them above Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
Form. US Sambenedettese have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L D. In this competition US Sambenedettese have gone D D W L D L. US Livorno 1915 have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. In this competition US Livorno 1915 have gone D D L W D W.
The numbers. US Sambenedettese score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. US Sambenedettese average 3.9 corners and 3.1 cards a game. US Livorno 1915 score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. US Livorno 1915 average 3.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings US Sambenedettese have won none, drawn one and lost two. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished US Sambenedettese 0-0 US Livorno 1915.
The read. US Livorno 1915 to win. An open game. US Livorno 1915 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Livorno 1915. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.32, 76% on the records (US Sambenedettese: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; US Livorno 1915: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: US Sambenedettese 1-2 US Livorno 1915 (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).