Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia. The referee is D. Gandino.
What's at stake. Spezia Calcio are 1st on 28 points after 10 games, 8 points clear of Ravenna. Latina Calcio are 10th on 13 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Torres, 1 point clear of Vado. A win would take them above Torres.
Form. Spezia Calcio have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Spezia Calcio have gone W W W W W W. Latina Calcio have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. In this competition Latina Calcio have gone W W D D L D.
The numbers. Spezia Calcio score 1.8 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Spezia Calcio average 4.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Latina Calcio score one and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Latina Calcio average 6.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Spezia Calcio have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 30 Jan 2017, it finished Spezia Calcio 3-2 Latina Calcio: Spezia Calcio had 8 shots to 12, 55% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The read. Spezia Calcio to win. Their goals for and against make Spezia Calcio the likelier winners; Spezia Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Spezia Calcio.
The bets. Best bet: Spezia Calcio or Draw at 1.11, 90% on the records (Spezia Calcio unbeaten in 10 of 10; Latina Calcio failed to win 7 of 10). Backup: Spezia Calcio or Both Teams Score at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Spezia Calcio are a clear winner, no Unders); Spezia Calcio win and under 3.5 goals (Spezia Calcio are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Spezia Calcio are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Spezia Calcio 2-0 Latina Calcio (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).