Al-Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq FC
Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:05 Lagos time. It is played at Al Hazm Club Stadium, Ar Rass.
What's at stake. Al-Kholood are 9th on 12 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Al Diriyah, level on points with Al Khaleej Saihat. A win would take them level on points with Al Diriyah. Al-Ettifaq FC are 7th on 15 points after 10 games, 1 point behind NEOM, level on points with Al Diriyah. A win would take them above NEOM.
Form. Al-Kholood have won three, drawn three and lost three of their last nine, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. In this competition Al-Kholood have gone L L L W D W. Al-Ettifaq FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D. In this competition Al-Ettifaq FC have gone L W D D D W.
The numbers. Al-Kholood score 1.6 and concede two a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al-Kholood average 12.6 shots (4.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Al-Ettifaq FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Al-Ettifaq FC average 12.8 shots (4.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Al-Kholood have won two, drawn none and lost two. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 24 Jan 2026, it finished Al-Kholood 1-2 Al-Ettifaq FC: Al-Kholood had 6 shots to 10, 44% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Al-Kholood's record still gives them 34% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Al-Ettifaq FC to win. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Al-Ettifaq FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Al-Kholood Under 1.5 goals (Al-Kholood's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 5.5 Goals (Al-Ettifaq FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Al-Kholood 1-2 Al-Ettifaq FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).