Neom SC vs Abha Club
Match details. Saudi Pro League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at King Khalid Sport City Stadium, Tabuk.
What's at stake. Neom SC are 6th on 16 points after 10 games, 5 points behind Al-Ahli Jeddah, 1 point clear of Al-Ettifaq. Abha Club are 18th on 2 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Al Taawon. A win would take them above Al Taawon.
Form. Neom SC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. In this competition Neom SC have gone L L D W W W. Abha Club have won none, drawn two and lost six of their last eight, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition Abha Club have gone L D L L L D.
The numbers. Neom SC score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Neom SC average 12.8 shots (3.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Abha Club score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Abha Club average 9.4 shots (3.0 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Neom SC have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 Jan 2025, it finished Neom SC 2-2 Abha Club.
The case against. Abha Club's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Neom SC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Neom SC the likelier winners; Neom SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Neom SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Neom SC or Draw at 1.15, 84% on the records (Neom SC unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Abha Club failed to win 5 of 5 away). Leave: Neom SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Neom SC 2-1 Abha Club (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).